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All Policy Analysis by Simon Henderson
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Brief Analysis
Emir’s Death Leaves Kuwait Vulnerable to Gulf Rivals
From family competition and parliamentary rumblings to potential friction with various neighbors, the oil-rich U.S. ally may face a challenging transition.
Sep 29, 2020
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Simon Henderson
Elana DeLozier
Brief Analysis
U.S. Officials to Mediate Israel-Lebanon Maritime Border Talks
Negotiating a dividing line would enable Beirut to fully exploit potential offshore oil and gas reserves.
Sep 25, 2020
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Ehud Yaari
Simon Henderson
Hanin Ghaddar
Articles & Testimony
'Farewell, Fossil Fuels'? What Oil's Demise Will Do to the World's Leading Economies
The combination of new demand projections, green consumer trends, pandemic-related shifts, and other factors may not spell the end of Middle Eastern oil economies quite yet, but it is the first draft of their obituary.
Sep 15, 2020
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Bahrain Move Toward Israel Risks Domestic Reaction
The announcement of a peace deal between Israel and Bahrain suggests that the Gulf island kingdom has reassessed the danger of opposition from both its majority Shia population and its Sunni community.
Sep 11, 2020
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Qatar Strategic Dialogue Offers Opening to End Gulf Rift
The Washington meeting between the United States and Qatar, overlapping with the Israel-UAE signing ceremony on normalization, creates a unique opportunity to resolve the dispute between U.S. allies.
Sep 11, 2020
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Saudi Military Chief Accused of Corruption
The general’s firing will prompt speculation about changes in Yemen policy and royal family opposition to the crown prince.
Sep 1, 2020
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Saudi-Pakistan Rift Develops Over India
Growing tensions between the two allies have both Islamic and nuclear angles.
Aug 21, 2020
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
The Slow but Steady Progress to Israel’s Peace with the UAE
Years of burgeoning trade and quiet U.S. diplomacy helped lay the groundwork for a move that is only partly focused on improving the bilateral relationship.
Aug 14, 2020
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Aug 14, 2020
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Turkey’s Search for Oil May Spill Over into Conflict with Greece
The current flare-up centers on differing interpretations of international law—a situation that should be employing lawyers but is instead deploying navies.
Aug 12, 2020
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Is China Helping Saudi Arabia to Build a Nuclear Bomb?
Riyadh has now ticked the first two boxes on the enrichment checklist and might already be working on the others.
Aug 5, 2020
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Saudi Arabia’s Soccer Setback
Riyadh’s failed attempt to buy a high-profile English Premier League club will be examined closely by foreign investors and regional competitors alike.
Jul 31, 2020
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Shifting Sands in the House of Saud with a King’s Declining Health
King Salman may not be on his deathbed, but his son is renowned for not wanting to waste an opportunity.
Jul 21, 2020
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
East Mediterranean Energy Rivalries Face Harsh Economic Realities
Even if acute diplomatic differences are resolved, low natural gas prices will have a cooling effect on regional energy initiatives.
Jul 17, 2020
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Saudi Arabia and the Gulf States Under Stress
As Riyadh aims to revamp the kingdom’s place in the international community, its near-term approach to Iran and Israel will have much to say about the Gulf neighborhood’s future trajectory.
Jul 15, 2020
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Will Iran ‘Go Nuclear’ Over Its Latest Nuke Site Setback?
Even if the regime’s prospects of obtaining enough high-enriched uranium for a weapon have been greatly delayed, the potential repercussions do not end there.
Jul 6, 2020
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Simon Henderson
Maps & Graphics
In-Depth Reports
Qatar Without Tamim
Sudden Succession Essay Series
Qatar's break with Saudi Arabia and its Gulf neighbors remains unresolved, and rumors circulate of bids to replace Tamim bin Khalifa al-Thani, Qatar’s forty-year-old emir, with one of his historically marginalized rivals.
Jun 15, 2020
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Simon Henderson
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Sudden Succession Essay Series
Articles & Testimony
You May Pay More at the Pump, as OPEC+ Cuts Oil Production
The cartel’s latest bid to increase profits will likely be counterbalanced by depressed summer demand and increased output by other producers.
Jun 8, 2020
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Iran Continues Its Nuclear Work, But Is It Weapons Grade?
An upcoming IAEA report will give Washington and Europe more clarity on where the nuclear program stands and whether united Western efforts to contain it are still possible.
Jun 1, 2020
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
East Mediterranean Gas Running Into Commercial, Technical, and Political Challenges
Reduced demand caused by the coronavirus and low oil/gas prices has complicated plans for further development of the region’s offshore reserves.
May 27, 2020
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Simon Henderson
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