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All Policy Analysis by Simon Henderson
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Brief Analysis
Saudi King Gives Up Prime Minister Role to Crown Prince
The transfer further boosts his son’s authority and could even be a prelude to an unprecedented abdication.
Sep 27, 2022
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Simon Henderson
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Israel’s Karish Gas Field: Diplomatic Opportunity or Casus Belli?
Seven experts examine how the fraught decision to start production might affect Beirut’s negotiating stance, Hezbollah’s military calculus, U.S.-Israel relations, and other factors.
Sep 20, 2022
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Simon Henderson
Hanin Ghaddar
Matthew Levitt
Ehud Yaari
David Makovsky
David Schenker
Andrew J. Tabler
Articles & Testimony
The ‘Spin’ Doesn’t Tell the Full Story of Biden’s Middle East Trip
If there is good news on oil, it isn’t because of Riyadh’s ambiguous remarks about increasing the kingdom’s production capacity.
Jul 18, 2022
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Biden Sees Oil as Key to His Visit, but Does Riyadh Agree?
The administration has signaled its intentions for the trip well in advance, but the realities of Saudi oil capacity and global energy forecasts should temper any U.S. expectations of a quick fix.
Jul 14, 2022
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
A Picture Could Paint a Thousand Words When Biden Meets MbS
Although political constraints in Washington, Jerusalem, and Riyadh could make substantive progress hard to come by, a few good photo ops may be all that's needed to deem the visit a success.
Jul 8, 2022
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
The Facts on What’s Behind Our Energy Crunch and High Gas Prices
An expert untangles the many factors driving energy costs amid complications such as the Ukraine crisis, U.S.-Saudi diplomacy, and the green debate.
Jun 24, 2022
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
A Month Out, the Spin Begins on Expectations of Biden’s Saudi Arabia Trip
Despite the recent emphasis on Washington’s “oil vs. human rights” dilemma, the visit’s greatest impact may wind up falling in the Arab-Israel arena.
Jun 15, 2022
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Israel’s Karish Offshore Gas Field: Facts and Figures
The country and its energy partners have found a more efficient way to exploit smaller offshore reserves, though Western officials should temper any expectations that such developments will help ease the global energy crisis.
Jun 14, 2022
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Lebanon’s (Verbal) Threat Against Israeli Gas Exploration
Production from Israel’s Karish offshore natural gas field is scheduled to start later this year.
Jun 6, 2022
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Iran Nuclear Explainer
A brief summary of technical terms relating to the country’s nuclear progress.
Jun 2, 2022
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Simon Henderson
High Oil Prices, Middle East Politics Cast Shadow Over Summer’s Start
The Biden administration is seeking to break a stalemate with MbS in Riyadh, but moves by Russia and Iran will also affect the trajectory of energy markets.
May 31, 2022
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
De Facto Becomes De Jure as MbZ Is Named UAE President
The succession of one of the most energetic emerging Arab leaders suggests an even more active regional role.
May 16, 2022
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Qatari Visit to Iran Suggests Possible Policy Breakthroughs
The emir will likely seek a role in reviving the nuclear agreement, as well as Iranian help with accommodating World Cup fans later this year.
May 11, 2022
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Simon Henderson
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Renewed Saudi-Pakistan Contacts Revive Nuclear Fears
Deadlock in the Iran nuclear talks may prompt action by Riyadh, with Pakistani support.
Apr 27, 2022
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Saudi-Kuwaiti Tensions with Iran over Offshore Gas Field
A relatively straightforward legal dispute could have geopolitical consequences.
Apr 18, 2022
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
The Clock Runs Out on Imran Khan as Pakistan’s Prime Minister
Things to watch going forward include Islamabad’s relationship with traditional cash source Saudi Arabia and its geopolitical posture toward Iran and Afghanistan.
Apr 11, 2022
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
A Battle Over Oil Rages Alongside Russia’s War in Ukraine
The latest OPEC+ production decision is a clear statement that Saudi Arabia, the UAE, and other traditional American partners are still at loggerheads with Washington.
Mar 31, 2022
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
The Middle East—Read “Energy”—Complicates Ukraine Crisis
A new gas deal with Germany may help, but the Gulf states are taking a risk by intertwining urgent Western energy requests with seemingly tangential regional issues.
Mar 22, 2022
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
A British Trip to Secure Extra Saudi Oil?
Boris Johnson’s expected visit reflects both the urgency of the crisis and the chill between Riyadh and the White House.
Mar 14, 2022
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
As the Ukraine Crisis Continues, the West Needs a Middle East Assist
The outcome of Israeli diplomacy, Iranian oil decisions, and Gulf hesitance may play a crucial role in the crisis, particularly if it drags on for months rather than weeks.
Mar 7, 2022
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Simon Henderson
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