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All Policy Analysis by Simon Henderson
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Brief Analysis
Israel Juggles Diplomacy with Turkey, Cyprus, and Greece
A high-level visit to Athens was notionally about climate issues, but it also took advantage of a potential shift in regional politics, including with Turkey.
Mar 1, 2022
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Why the US Needs Saudi Arabia to Help Put Pressure on Russia
Currently, the odds do not favor Riyadh making the substantial oil production increases sought by Washington.
Feb 25, 2022
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Prepare for Russian Tanks to Crawl into Ukraine—and Cut Europe’s Energy
Although the immediate military horizon remains blurry, the longer-term energy crunch may be survivable, albeit painful.
Feb 15, 2022
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Bennett’s Bahrain Visit Further Invigorates Israel-Gulf Diplomacy
The trip reflects the diplomatic competition between Manama and Abu Dhabi, and also suggests that a breakthrough with the Saudis could be close.
Feb 14, 2022
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Saudi Arabia Adjusts Its History, Diminishing the Role of Wahhabism
The first celebration of Founding Day, on February 22, could be accompanied by other changes.
Feb 11, 2022
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Energy Markets Take a Costly Turn with the Drama of World Tensions
In the current act, Russia enjoys advantages over its Western rivals, including high revenues and the gas that keeps Ukrainians and Germans warm.
Feb 7, 2022
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Israeli Defense Minister’s Visit to Bahrain Marks Major Advance
Iran is the dominant issue as top officials meet to finalize security pacts.
Feb 2, 2022
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Gas Likely to Top Agenda of Qatar’s White House Visit
Originally planned as a thank-you for crucial assistance in last summer’s withdrawal from Afghanistan, the meeting will probably focus on Doha’s potential role in addressing the Ukraine crisis instead.
Jan 31, 2022
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Reality Check for Israel’s Natural Gas Plans
Washington has logical reasons to step away from an undersea pipeline project in the East Mediterranean, though the decision effectively kills Israel’s improbable dream of becoming a significant gas supplier to Europe.
Jan 27, 2022
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
The Russia-Ukraine Crisis Is Creating an Energy Predicament
For once, an emerging energy crisis isn’t Middle East-focused, but it will still have implications for that region, including countries that missed out on hydrocarbon wealth.
Jan 24, 2022
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Fighter Aircraft Could Give Iran a Nuclear Delivery Option
Newly disclosed interviews indicate that a key Pakistani source of Iran’s nuclear know-how also figured out how to equip F-16s with nukes.
Dec 20, 2021
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Simon Henderson
In-Depth Reports
Power to the People?
Scrutinizing the U.S.-Arab Effort to Supply Energy to Lebanon via Syria
Residents of the beleaguered country desperately need electricity, but a U.S.-Arab scheme carries complications that could benefit Syria's Assad regime.
Dec 16, 2021
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Katherine Bauer
Ben Fishman
Hanin Ghaddar
Simon Henderson
David Schenker
Andrew J. Tabler
Brief Analysis
Gulf Arab Summit Could Be Overshadowed by Israel-UAE Meeting
Normalization with Israel will be the elephant in the room at the Riyadh summit, though Iran diplomacy and persistent internal rifts bear close watching as well.
Dec 13, 2021
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Simon Henderson
Elana DeLozier
Articles & Testimony
Will an Apparent Saudi Concession on Oil Production Drop US Prices at the Pump?
It is unclear how long any price effects might last, and Riyadh may yet expect a diplomatic quid pro quo from Washington.
Dec 3, 2021
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
US Leads a Global Release of Oil from Reserves, But Will It Outmaneuver OPEC+?
Besides reopening the debate about proper use of the strategic reserve, the decision is not guaranteed to sway Washington’s tussle with Moscow and Riyadh.
Nov 23, 2021
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
UAE to Fund Israel and Jordan’s Solar/Water Deal
The trilateral agreement will combine long-established peace partners with one of the Gulf parties to last year’s Abraham Accords, providing a model for broader normalization efforts.
Nov 18, 2021
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Ghaith al-Omari
Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Biden’s Other Setback: OPEC+ Ignores His Plea for Help
The political costs of oil and gas pricing are increasing amid diplomatic snubs, LNG logistics, and the onset of winter weather.
Nov 8, 2021
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Saudi Prince’s “Net Zero by 2060” Goal Comes with Intriguing Contradictions
His presence at a major climate event will be awash in speculation regarding Canadian hit squads, British charities, and uncertain relations with the Biden administration.
Oct 25, 2021
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
While Washington Argues, Iran Makes Nuclear Advances
A closer look at the technical progress being made under the country’s new nuclear chief—and his potential links with the Pakistani scientist who first gave Tehran weaponization know-how.
Oct 15, 2021
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Saudi Arabia: What Has Changed, What Hasn’t
An expert discusses persistent questions about Saudi policy two decades since the September 11 attacks, explaining why some of them are still so difficult to answer definitively.
Oct 13, 2021
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Simon Henderson
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